May 24 2008
State of the Wave, Friday May 23, 2008
Today marks the first-ever State of the Wave for this Weblog.
Every other Friday we review the previous two weeks for signs of progress toward real, near-term space colonization focused on the approach to the 2015 Maslow Window. In particular, world events and trends are compared directly with our Forecasts, specifically in the context of the Ten Wave Guides. In addition to international and U.S. space and technology activities, these include a diverse set of indicators such as economic growth, education, global conflict, and popular culture.
Because this blog is still very new, this week we identify and limit discussion to only the top three most revealing indicators. In the future we’ll provide more in-depth reviews and syntheses of our Wave Guides’ trajectories toward space colonization. The following editors contributed to this summary: Rachel Nishimura, Olivia Wolfe, Ann Hovey, and the author.
Based on this early analysis, the State of the Wave is good. In recent Daily Wavelets we are especially impressed by signs of early ebullience and by evidence that potential key players are (becoming) well-positioned for the upcoming Maslow Window. The following prioritized list suggests to us that the Maslow ramp-up is occurring nominally:
1. “Google Recruits Mars Pioneers!” 5/11/08: We are impressed that the founders of Google are sincerely promoting a human mission to Mars based on “sufficiently advanced” technology and mission timing, which is very consistent with our forecasts. Because it’s highly unlikely their business plan requires human settlements on Mars (!), we consider this to be a genuine sign of early ebullience that’s very consistent with a Maslow Window-minus-7 timeframe.
2. “Surging Brazil is a Global Space Power!” 5/20/08: Brazil’s expertise in space technology has been evident for a long time, including their collaborations with China, Russia, and the U.S.. Now that their economy is booming they are perfectly positioned for the international thrust into space expected around 2013.
3. “The U.S….Leviathan or Left Behind?” 5/21/08: Despite current economic problems in the U.S., the long-term view is as we expect: America’s dynamic economy and vibrant society should enable it to be a leader in the next race to space, starting after 2013 and culminating in the 2020s.