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	<title>Comments on: A Vision for The Next 100 Years &#8212; Courtesy of George Friedman</title>
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	<link>http://21stcenturywaves.com/2009/01/10/a-vision-for-the-next-100-years-courtesy-of-george-friedman/</link>
	<description>TECHNOLOGY BOOMS AND HUMAN EXPANSION INTO THE COSMOS</description>
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		<title>By: Gouki</title>
		<link>http://21stcenturywaves.com/2009/01/10/a-vision-for-the-next-100-years-courtesy-of-george-friedman/comment-page-1/#comment-138</link>
		<dc:creator>Gouki</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Jan 2009 22:48:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>**in the second half of the 21st century, the Golden Age will be modulated by the long economic wave peaking near 2081…**

If in the first half of the 21st century, people live in self-sufficient colonies in Mars, or in O&#039;Neill like habitats in the space, maybe there will be more than one Maslov Window in the second half of the 21st century, or in the fist half of the 22nd century, one for Earth&#039;s people, and one more(or more than one ) for Mars&#039; people.

&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;That&#039;s a really interesting idea!&lt;/em&gt;

It brings up two intriguing questions in the very new science of &quot;Interplanetary Economics&quot; (!): 1) how big does an economy have to be (e.g., the minimum GDP it can have) before it independently displays long waves, and 2) how separated (in every sense of the word) does a Mars society (or any other space colony) have to be from Earth before it develops its own Maslow Windows!

I think you&#039;re pointing out that when I indicate how important it is for a Mars or other space colony to become self-sufficient (from Earth) as soon as possible, what I really mean is that for a space colony to have &lt;em&gt;long-term viability&lt;/em&gt;, &lt;em&gt;it needs to separate from Earth&#039;s Maslow Windows ASAP&lt;/em&gt;. The reason is that ebullience collapses as the Maslow Window&#039;s economic boom declines; and without ebullience, the widespread support for Great Exploration disappears.

When a space colony achieves physical and economic viability -- i.e., separates from Earth&#039;s Maslow Window -- and if its GDP and GDP per capita grow significantly, then it might eventually establish its own economic long waves and Maslow Windows. Decades downstream as the space colony&#039;s economy -- both internal and interplanetary -- develops, the Mars colony&#039;s long waves and Earth&#039;s long waves might display interference phenomena -- constructively and/or destructively -- like any other waves. That doesn&#039;t happen on 21st Century Earth between countries because they are very closely linked via globalization. But in the future, there may be optimal economic separation between the Earth&#039;s economy and advanced societies in space, for the long waves on different planets to exhibit a non-zero mutual phase shift (i.e., be out of synch).

This is a fun topic to play with. Thanks Gouki.
   Best regards...Bruce&lt;/strong&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>**in the second half of the 21st century, the Golden Age will be modulated by the long economic wave peaking near 2081…**</p>
<p>If in the first half of the 21st century, people live in self-sufficient colonies in Mars, or in O&#8217;Neill like habitats in the space, maybe there will be more than one Maslov Window in the second half of the 21st century, or in the fist half of the 22nd century, one for Earth&#8217;s people, and one more(or more than one ) for Mars&#8217; people.</p>
<p><strong><em>That&#8217;s a really interesting idea!</em></p>
<p>It brings up two intriguing questions in the very new science of &#8220;Interplanetary Economics&#8221; (!): 1) how big does an economy have to be (e.g., the minimum GDP it can have) before it independently displays long waves, and 2) how separated (in every sense of the word) does a Mars society (or any other space colony) have to be from Earth before it develops its own Maslow Windows!</p>
<p>I think you&#8217;re pointing out that when I indicate how important it is for a Mars or other space colony to become self-sufficient (from Earth) as soon as possible, what I really mean is that for a space colony to have <em>long-term viability</em>, <em>it needs to separate from Earth&#8217;s Maslow Windows ASAP</em>. The reason is that ebullience collapses as the Maslow Window&#8217;s economic boom declines; and without ebullience, the widespread support for Great Exploration disappears.</p>
<p>When a space colony achieves physical and economic viability &#8212; i.e., separates from Earth&#8217;s Maslow Window &#8212; and if its GDP and GDP per capita grow significantly, then it might eventually establish its own economic long waves and Maslow Windows. Decades downstream as the space colony&#8217;s economy &#8212; both internal and interplanetary &#8212; develops, the Mars colony&#8217;s long waves and Earth&#8217;s long waves might display interference phenomena &#8212; constructively and/or destructively &#8212; like any other waves. That doesn&#8217;t happen on 21st Century Earth between countries because they are very closely linked via globalization. But in the future, there may be optimal economic separation between the Earth&#8217;s economy and advanced societies in space, for the long waves on different planets to exhibit a non-zero mutual phase shift (i.e., be out of synch).</p>
<p>This is a fun topic to play with. Thanks Gouki.<br />
   Best regards&#8230;Bruce</strong></p>
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