Oct 17 2009

Contact Us

Published by

Bruce Cordell, Ph.D.
and
Rachel Nishimura

If you have a message or question, please leave it as a comment on this page, or simply send an email directly to: Drbc2012@gmail.com . We’ll respond as soon as possible.

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Bruce is available for public speaking; click HERE.

21stCenturyWaves.com
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USA

11 responses so far

11 Responses to “Contact Us”

  1. Neil Craigon 12 Jan 2012 at 10:27 am

    I hope you are interested in this blog of mine and in particular the graph and in particulat the secondary line on it. The graph was produced to make a point about 3rd world growth, the primary line, but I was more interested in the secondary which shows developed world growth rates peaking around 1958 and declining since then. This suggests the Kennedy boom was past the peak of the cycle but then if the apparent peaks of cycles are shortly after the real one this would suggest that what is happening is society maximising the amount it extracts from new wealth while reducing reinvestment – which would be a reason for cycles to end.
    http://a-place-to-stand.blogspot.com/2011/07/growth-rates-have-been-reduced-are.html

    I have also written largely approvingly in today’s entry on your ideas.

    Hi Neil,
    Thanks for your interesting comment and post on your blog.
    I made a comment on your blog in relation to both.
    Best regards,
    Bruce

  2. Chuck Blackon 24 Apr 2012 at 9:01 pm

    Hello Bruce and Rachel,

    I hope you’re both well.

    Have you looked at the article at http://www.thespacereview.com/article/2067/1. How does this historical event fit into the the “Maslow Window” hypothesis?

    Hi Chuck,

    Thanks for forwarding that article.

    Naturally I think the author is on the right track but I see the coming golden age as a near-term event (mid-decade).

    Like wars and macro-engineering projects, space programs appear to be currently (and over at least the last 2 centuries) driven by the formation of self-organized “critical states” in the international economic system, that manifest themselves as twice-per-century JFK-style economic booms.

    Apollo-level explorations (e.g., Lewis and Clark) are driven by the booms and related geopolitical circumstances (e.g., Napoleon and Louisiana) and are almost inevitable. To avoid them we’d have to shut down the international economic system so self-organization isn’t possible.

    BTW, the financial Panic of 2008, the Great Recession of 2008-10, and the continuing slow recovery are part of a 200-year pattern and are typical precursors of the coming mid-decade Maslow Window.

    Best regards,
    Bruce

  3. Nathan Fleischmanon 27 Mar 2015 at 3:04 am

    Explorations, macro-engineering projects, and wars are not the only things common to these Maslow Windows. One aspect common to all of them is communication. The first Maslow Window had the horse and rider. The second Maslow Window had the telegraph. The third Maslow Window had the telephone and the wireless telegraph (the future radio). The fourth Maslow Window had the television coming of age. The fifth will probably have the Internet coming of age.

    Another aspect common to all the Maslow Windows is the music. The first Maslow Window had the Classical composer Ludwig van Beethoven. The second Maslow Window had the Romantic composer Franz Liszt. The third Maslow Window had the Ragtime composer Scott Joplin. The fourth Maslow Window had the Beatles and the other rock bands of the British Invasion. I do not know what the fifth Maslow Window will have, but I think we will see a band the performs hip-hop or electronic music.

    One final aspect I can think of that is common to most if not all Maslow Windows is social change. I do not know whether there was social change in the first Maslow Window. The second Maslow Window was the time of the Abolitionist Movement. The third Maslow Window corresponds with the Progressive era. The fourth Maslow Window is the time of the Civil Rights Movement. Given what has happened with gay rights and what has happened in Ferguson, there were definitely be an equivalent to the Civil Rights Movement during the fifth Maslow Window.

    This is all I know.

  4. Nathan Fleischmanon 28 May 2015 at 5:24 pm

    NEWSFLASH! Here is the URL for an article I just found: http://www.fin24.com/Companies/Industrial/Boeing-aims-for-human-spaceflight-20150528

    NASA has Boeing the license to use an ESA spaceship.

  5. Nathan Fleischmanon 28 May 2015 at 5:25 pm

    Actually, NASA has awarded Boeing the license to use the CST-100.

  6. Kenneth Harmonon 04 Jun 2015 at 6:27 am

    Hello Bruce,

    Two quick questions. Since the actual opening of the Maslow Space Window may have slipped until 2017 and a new Presidential Administration in the U.S. is another possible Global and U.S. Recession in 2016-2017 consistent with the 2017 opening of the Maslow Space Window? A couple of years ago you indicated that a Global/U.S. recession in 2014 would be fully consistent with the opening of the Maslow Space Window in 2015. Does the same sequences also apply for a 2017 opening of the Maslow Space Window? For many years now Martin Armstrong, Larry Edelman, and Charles Nenner along with many others have cited 2016-2017 as very difficult years for both the U.S. and Global Economy. They have also mentioned a major increase in several War Cycles by 2016/2017. We could never quite reconcile this with the opening of the Maslow Space Window in ~2015, but now that this has appeared to slip until sometime in 2017 everything could finally be reconciled here. The start of the next 1960’s style “Ebullient Era” may correspond to the the recovery period from another Global Crisis in 2016-2017.

    Secondly, as the opening of a Maslow Window slips a few years to the right does the entire Maslow Window in turn slip to the right along with it? Given a 2017 Maslow Space Window opening does this mean that the potential close has now slipped a couple of years from ~2028 (assuming a 2015 opening) to ~2030 (assuming a 2017 opening). Would this pattern continue if the Maslow Space Window start some how slipped out to say 2020 due to Global Events with a potential closing by ~2035. I understand that this is somewhat uncharted territory, but the question is the same, does the entire Maslow Window in turn shift to the right give or take a few years?

    Thank You
    Kenneth Harmon

    Hi Kenneth,
    I think we may have slipped into the new MW already — all that’s missing is the beginning of the JFK Boom. If you look at the 1960s experience it wasn’t until after JFK was elected that his economic policies triggered the U.S.’ unprecedented expansion.

    Economic history indicates that when JFK-style economic policies are enacted again we’ll return to a growth economy. There’s evidence we’re already setting the stage for growth (e.g., the TPP trade pact). I talked about this in my June appearance on The Space Show and will elaborate more on it here soon.

    Economic policy will be clarified by the 2016 presidential election (like it was for JFK). Recent elections point to movement toward JFK.

    If the model holds, the close of the new MW depends largely on when (or if, optimistically speaking) the expected 2020s major war begins. It’s a wild card that we really can’t know at this point.

    Best regards,
    Bruce

  7. Nathan Fleischmanon 01 Jul 2015 at 7:37 pm

    The fifth Maslow Window has begun.

  8. Nathan Fleischmanon 21 Aug 2015 at 12:22 pm

    I was wondering. Who do you think the next president will be?

  9. Dr. Bruce Cordellon 30 Aug 2015 at 6:15 pm

    I think it will be a JFK-like figure who is stylish, has charisma, and is exciting. The most obvious candidate at the moment is The Donald, although he has a long way to go to get the nomination and then get elected. There are a few others who might develop into a JFK-like figure but it’s not clear yet who it will be.

  10. Nathan Fleischmanon 13 Feb 2016 at 11:49 am

    I have found this article that is very interesting compared to this topic. Here is the URL: http://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/russia-accuses-west-new-cold-war-over-syria-ukraine-n518006

  11. Kenneth Harmonon 02 Aug 2016 at 2:37 am

    Bruce,

    I actually commented in detail on your Dr David Livingston/Space Show entry from April/May 2016. To recap, what I stated is as follows. I am struck by how much you believe the current/near future (2017?) Maslow Window including for Space will follow a similar trajectory to the 1960’s Maslow Window. I do not doubt the opening of the Maslow Window itself including for Space only the type of Maslow you believe is likely. The problem is that our current/near future Maslow Window is opening squarely in a Fourth Turning Crisis Era according to Strauss and Howe (“The Fourth Turning” 1997), and not in a 1960’s Era First and then Second Turning Era. According to Strauss and Howe our Fourth Turning Era is not scheduled to end until ~2028, or even later. A Maslow Window has never opened squarely in a Fourth Turning Crisis driven Era. Only the 1790 Maslow Window caught the tail end of a Fourth Turning. Consequently, at least in terms of a twice per Century Economic expansion you may be looking for the wrong thing in terms of confirmation, although we may very well see a World War Two style Mobilization and huge Economic expansion in the early 2020’s as a result of Crisis and War. Bottom line, the current Maslow may be unusually powerful, but very different from the one you expect. ~10 years from now we may have moved into Space in a huge way for National Security reasons as the current Global order collapses.

    Ken

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