Jul 06 2011
AIAA — ANALYST PREDICTS NEW SPACE AGE COMING SOON
In an op-ed for Space News (6/28, Subscription Publication), Bruce Cordell, co-founder of 21stCenturyWaves.com, writes that examining long-term trends, the cancelation of the Constellation program is “merely a speed bump on the road to near-term international commercial and scientific development of Earth-Moon space and even humans to Mars.” Cordell argues it is not just the availability of money that drives programs like Apollo to fruition but also by a confluence with an “exuberant” public whose “expanded worldviews made the Apollo program seem not only intriguing but almost irresistible – as reflected in 1960s opinion polls.” By looking at trends over the past 200 years with other big exploration projects, Cordell predicts that “a new international Space Age…should gain momentum by 2015.”
The full Space News op-ed is available Click HERE.
This forecast for a near-term, New Space Age is based on a long-term, empirical approach that has major implications for business, technology, and education:
This glimpse of the future is not based on hope or optimism, but on long-term trends in the economy, technology and geopolitics that point to a near-term reignition of President John F. Kennedy’s 50-year-old vision of human exploration of the Moon and planets.
The “Maslow Window” model provides:
1) a framework for long- and near-term planning, including specific forecast models,
2) a marketing theme — space exploration is the most recent manifestation of the great explorations back to Lewis and Clark; and they are always linked with major economic booms and transformative technology development,
3) a morale boost — timing is based on patterns observed over the last 200+ years.
For more information see:
The “Maslow Window” Summary Page … Click HERE